Orioles vs Yankees Prediction - MLB Picks 7/6/23

New York Yankees (48-39) vs Baltimore Orioles (50-35)

Game Info: Thursday, July 6, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Luis Severino (1-3) (6.30) vs Kyle Bradish (4-4) (3.58)

Betting Odds: New York Yankees +110 / Baltimore Orioles -135 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles will conclude their divisional series this Thursday in the Bronx from Yankee Stadium on YES. Baltimore bounced back with a win in Game three after pulling away late, 6-3.

Orioles Betting Preview 

Baltimore moved to 50-33 after defeating New York. The Orioles were able to get back into the win column behind a strong two-way effort, and they’ll look to close strong with a win Thursday.  The Baltimore offense is scoring 4.95 runs per Game, while batting .252, with a .329 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.09 ERA, with a 1.29 WHIP. Austin Hays, the team’s leading hitter at .312, missed the previous series, but he may return at some point this weekend. Anthony Santander has recorded a hit in five of the last six Games, and he leads Baltimore in HR (14) and RBI (47).  Adam Frazier has plated three runs in the series with NYY, and he’s posting splits of .228/10/38.

Kyle Bradish (4-4, 3.58 ERA, 74?Ks) will take the bump for Baltimore. The sophomore righty pitched well against Minnesota last week despite receiving the loss, striking out seven through six innings pitched, while holding them to just one run. The outing should’ve marked Bradish’s third straight victory, but a lack of run support led to the result, and he’ll look to bounce back here. Bradish will also be out to avenge a tough start in the Bronx last month, which saw him allow four runs in five innings to the Yanks. 

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Yankees Betting Preview

New York moved to 48-39 after losing to Baltimore. The Yankees weren’t able to hold off the pesky Orioles in Game three, and they’ll look to get back into the win column Thursday. The New York offense is scoring 3.87 runs per Game, while batting .230, with a .298 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.87 ERA, with a 1.25 WHIP. Gleyber Torres homered in the Game two victory, and he’s posting splits of .245/13/36. Anthony Volpe has homered twice in series with Baltimore, and he’s now batting .223, with twelve homers and 31 RBI. Anthony Rizzo produced a run in the Game two victory, has a hit in seven of the last ten Games, and he leads the team in hits (77), with splits of .260/11/38. Giancarlo Stanton has come alive with hits in seven of his last ten Games, and he tallied 20 RBI for the season.

Lou Severino (1-3, 6.30 ERA, 34 Ks) will take the bump for New York. The eighth-year righty followed up his first win of the season by opening his month with a troubling outing in St. Louis. Severino tied a season-worse by allowing seven runs in just four innings pitched to take his third loss of the season. Severino is a shell of his old self, and he’s become an opposing pitcher to target props wise. 

Baltimore vs New York Trends

Baltimore is 42-38 against the spread this season, with a 44-34-4 O/U record. New York is 38-45 ATS this year, with a 36-47 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

New York continues to look like a regular team without Aaron Judge in the lineup, and with a vulnerable Lou Severino set to go for them, Baltimore has a real chance to leave the Bronx with back-to-back victories. Kyle Bradish has been much more steady than the former All-Star, and a solid outing from him should have the O’s within reach. Let’s spot Baltimore the runs for this AL East matchup.

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